KUALA LUMPUR: Talk is rife in Sarawak that the state assembly will be dissolved as early as this month for the state election even though the assembly’s term only expires in July next year.
It intensified after Chief Minister Abdul Taib Mahmud confirmed last Saturday that he was willing to lead the state Barisan Nasional (BN) and government for another term.
Taib, 74, made the announcement to a crowd of over 7,000 people who comprised state Cabinet ministers, BN supporters and members of NGOs upon his return from an overseas trip.
A day later, he told reporters he was likely to defend his Balingian state seat — another indication that things are gearing up towards the 10th state election.
The two announcements immediately sparked talk that his next announcement would be the dissolution of the state assembly as many political analysts believe that the two announcements are the clearest indication that the election is getting nearer.
Sarawak BN secretary-general Stephen Rundi said in an interview that the BN election machinery was already into “full gear” while election-related courses and training had been completed.
“The first wave of the roadshow is already on and we will continue with the roadshow until the election is called. We are prepared anytime Pehin Seri (Taib) wants to call the election,” he said.
Since his return from the short trip overseas last week, Taib has been actively travelling throughout the state, almost on a daily basis, which is seen as part of the roadshow to meet the people through various events.
Two-thirds majority
Rundi said that in terms of seat allocation, the BN leadership is likely to stick to the previous formula, with Parti Pesaka Bumiputera Bersatu (PBB) getting 35 seats, Sarawak United People’s Party (SUPP) 19, Parti Rakyat Sarawak (PRS) nine and Sarawak Progressive Democratic Party (SPDP) eight.
In the last election, PBB won all 35 seats it contested, SUPP 11, PRS eight and SPDP eight of the 71 at stake.
“I believe the seat allocation will be the same. It is up to the leadership to decide. In terms of chances, I believe we can maintain our two-thirds majority. However, in certain constituencies, we have to work hard,” he said.
Another sign that the state election may be getting nearer is that to date, there is no indication whether the last session of the year’s state assembly sitting scheduled for the end of November will be held.
Many state assemblymen said they have yet to receive notice of the sitting even though there was a report saying that it could be held at the end of October or early November for the state budget. The last sitting of the Sarawak state assembly was from May 17 to 26.
This has prompted some opposition leaders in the state into believing that the “election is round the corner” and could be called as early as next month.
“Election is coming. October or November is a very likely date,” said Sarawak DAP chairman Wong Ho Leng.
“The signs have grown very hot of late. Everywhere you go, people are talking about it and it does look very soon, possibly by November,” Sarawak PKR chief Baru Bian said.
Some politicians from Sarawak, particularly MPs, are worried that if the election is called either this month or the next they would have to shuttle between the state and Parliament sessions during the campaign period.
Taib’s beard
The Dewan Rakyat will sit again from Oct 11 and, during this sitting, several important events such as the tabling of the 2011 Budget will take place.
Even though Umno does not have any official presence in Sarawak, its general assembly from Oct 19 to 24 will still be keenly watched before the BN convention on Nov 28.
Therefore, some political watchers believe that the state assembly would be dissolved either towards the end of October and the election called before Aidiladha, which falls on Nov 17.
However, others say that it will be held after Aidiladha as the 218 divisions of PKR are scheduled to hold direct voting to elect its national leaders on weekends from Oct 29 to Nov 21, and Parliament sitting will limit their leaders’ movement.
But PKR vice-president Azmin Ali has said that the party’s first direct election will not be postponed even if the Sarawak state assembly were to be dissolved at that time.
However, there are some politicians who believe the state election will only be called after March 26, 2011 — exactly 30 years after Taib became the chief minister. He took office on March 26, 1981, replacing his uncle Rahman Yaakub.
Some Sarawakians, however, are observing Taib’s beard as they believe the date of the election will be determined by the length of his beard. They say that once it reaches a certain length, he will be looking for inspiration for the election date. He is still sporting the beard, but it is trim.
There are also those who believe that nine is Taib’s special number but the long-serving chief minister has so far offered only a teasing clue to the media — by saying that the election will take place on a Saturday.
Being a veteran politician, Taib knows fully well that the media as well as politicians will always be thrilled with the clue he has presented them.
For all the guessing and clues, one fact remains — nobody knows for sure when the election will be until the state assembly is dissolved.
– Bernama
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